Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.999622 1.126674 1.265182 1.427632 1.613249 1.819073 2.065082
2025-12-28 0.830154 1.003656 1.207820 1.466793 1.787950 2.174943 2.679320
2026-01-04 0.710152 0.909111 1.158379 1.495850 1.944234 2.524261 3.339085
2026-01-11 0.622558 0.836305 1.118698 1.522952 2.093106 2.877908 4.056207
2026-01-18 0.552193 0.773114 1.078665 1.537860 2.220409 3.213200 4.795565
2026-01-25 0.485839 0.704873 1.020049 1.514210 2.283419 3.458335 5.433957
2026-02-01 0.421690 0.630872 0.942356 1.449098 2.270485 3.580550 5.891247
2026-02-08 0.374266 0.575856 0.885614 1.407018 2.284578 3.742041 6.431294
2026-02-15 0.337033 0.532158 0.840816 1.377110 2.312084 3.925251 7.032049
2026-02-22 0.319602 0.517933 0.840989 1.420647 2.468198 4.347778 8.131751
2026-03-01 0.298947 0.496013 0.825666 1.434807 2.572604 4.689396 9.130696
2026-03-08 0.273251 0.462895 0.787685 1.403719 2.588833 4.866544 9.827464
2026-03-15 0.247446 0.428151 0.745161 1.362777 2.587643 5.022545 10.536973
2026-03-22 0.238067 0.421776 0.752845 1.417608 2.782155 5.600926 12.277041
2026-03-29 0.226866 0.410926 0.751114 1.453916 2.944462 6.138533 14.036691
2026-04-05 0.215891 0.399351 0.746689 1.484086 3.097949 6.681255 15.922314
2026-04-12 0.204331 0.385478 0.736268 1.500383 3.223306 7.180441 17.806011
2026-04-19 0.189795 0.364374 0.709316 1.478179 3.258890 7.475820 19.222873
2026-04-26 0.172652 0.336510 0.665958 1.415116 3.191249 7.511719 19.943905
2026-05-03 0.159281 0.315184 0.634164 1.374273 3.170934 7.662058 21.020558
2026-05-10 0.148203 0.297665 0.608787 1.345197 3.175385 7.876473 22.332494
2026-05-17 0.144106 0.294489 0.613875 1.387660 3.364501 8.607804 25.380486
2026-05-24 0.137959 0.286360 0.607305 1.401475 3.482018 9.164886 28.017660